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What will Bernie say during his Detroit rally?

Live Kalshi odds · 23 outcomesMultiple can happen
84Biggest move: Wall Street down to 1% recently.
1
AI / Artificial Intelligence799%
2
Climate4199%
3
Corrupt / Corruption2699%
4
Oil / Gas / Gasoline3999%
5
Robot / Robotic / Robotics1099%
6
Vermont / Vermonter1899%
7
Zohran / Mamdani1599%
8
Socialist / Socialism6299%
9
Israel / Netanyahu3299%
10
Bezos2499%
11
Supreme Court2899%
12
Ballroom / Pool162%
13
ICE641%
14
Trillionaire581%
15
Trump (5+ times)801%
16
Bernie551%
17
Data Center341%
18
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement161%
19
Social Security781%
20
ChatGPT / OpenAI71%
21
Event does not qualify1%
22
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin191%
23
Wall Street841%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1102%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 19 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, AI / Artificial Intelligence at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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