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Election markets, live

Kalshi’s political board heading into the 2026 midterms: the most active election and politics markets our scanner sees right now, grouped by race and event, with live prices, day moves, and volume. It refreshes automatically all the way to November.

Before trading any of these, take the one test that matters: would you still take the position if winning meant your side losing? The Politics & Elections field guide covers wishcasting, seat-math arbitrage, the four meanings of “wins,” and certification timelines.

What will Donald Trump say during Remarks at Steel Across America?
KXTRUMPMENTION-26SEP08 · vol24 39,134
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin1¢-1¢Check
Democrat44¢-3¢Check
Made in America / American Made19¢-8¢Check
Event does not qualify1¢0¢Check
AI / Artificial Intelligence7¢-4¢Check
China / Chinese17¢-15¢Check
Will it be confirmed that Susie Wiles speaks as part of official programming at the 2026 R
KXRNCMIDTERMSPEAK-26SEP12 · vol24 7,226
Susie Wiles3¢-8¢Check
Stephen Miller54¢0¢Check
Lara Trump40¢-10¢Check
Ken Paxton98¢+3¢Check
Ted Cruz95¢+16¢Check
Melania Trump2¢-1¢Check
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t
KXHORMUZPEAK-26SEP13 · vol24 1,298
Above 304¢0¢Check
Above 1016¢0¢Check
Above 582¢0¢Check
Above 254¢0¢Check
Above 204¢0¢Check
Above 158¢0¢Check
Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?
KXHORMUZRENAME-26SEP · vol24 1,204
Before Sep 15, 20262¢0¢Check
Before Oct 1, 20266¢+1¢Check
Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 7, 2026 to
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26SEP13 · vol24 415
Above 407¢0¢Check
Above 2073¢0¢Check
Above 1098¢0¢Check
Above 1598¢0¢Check
Above 754¢0¢Check
Above 504¢0¢Check
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by
KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01 · vol24 402
Above 3040¢-15¢Check
Will Trump take another official renaming action?
KXTRUMPRENAMEACTION-26SEP · vol24 333
Before Oct 1, 202625¢+1¢Check
Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?
KXTRUMPSTRAIT-26SEP · vol24 176
Before Oct 1, 20263¢0¢Check
Before Sep 15, 20261¢0¢Check
Will September 13 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (9/7
KXHORMUZMAX-26SEP13 · vol24 0
September 1315¢0¢Check
September 1215¢0¢Check
September 1115¢0¢Check
September 1015¢0¢Check
September 915¢0¢Check
September 815¢0¢Check
Will RZP-Zehut win at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
KXISRAELANYSEAT-26OCT27 · vol24 0
RZP-Zehut91¢0¢Check
The 10 most active political events on our scanner, last scanned 8:33 PM ET. Prices are scanner observations, not executable quotes. Not financial advice.