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Election markets, live

Kalshi’s political board heading into the 2026 midterms: the most active election and politics markets our scanner sees right now, grouped by race and event, with live prices, day moves, and volume. It refreshes automatically all the way to November.

Before trading any of these, take the one test that matters: would you still take the position if winning meant your side losing? The Politics & Elections field guide covers wishcasting, seat-math arbitrage, the four meanings of “wins,” and certification timelines.

Will Donald Trump endorse Darline Graham Nordone in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race be
KXTRUMPENDORSESC-26AUG11 · vol24 21,861
Darline Graham Nordone89¢0¢Check
No one4¢0¢Check
Russell Fry2¢0¢Check
Ralph Norman1¢0¢Check
Mark Lynch1¢0¢Check
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t
KXHORMUZPEAK-26JUL26 · vol24 2,246
Above 1072¢0¢Check
Above 1524¢0¢Check
Above 258¢0¢Check
Above 305¢0¢Check
Above 209¢0¢Check
Above 404¢0¢Check
Will there be more than 60 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26 · vol24 1,852
Above 6027¢0¢Check
Above 3086¢0¢Check
Above 4062¢0¢Check
Above 7017¢0¢Check
Above 5047¢0¢Check
Above 2090¢0¢Check
Above 5.2%
KXGENERICBALLOTVOTEHUB-26JUL24 · vol24 854
Above 5.2%41¢0¢Check
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be ex
KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26AUG01 · vol24 600
112¢0¢Check
1018¢0¢Check
920¢0¢Check
Will Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average be above 40.5% at 10
KXTRUMPVH-26JUL24 · vol24 259
Above 40.5%37¢0¢Check
Will the margin of victory for Mark Lamb in the 2026 AZ-05 Republican primary be at least
KXPRIMARYMOV-AZ5R26 · vol24 229
Mark Lamb, ≥30%5¢0¢Check
Mark Lamb, 25-30%8¢0¢Check
Mark Lamb, 20-25%6¢0¢Check
Mark Lamb, 15-20%12¢0¢Check
Mark Lamb, 10-15%13¢0¢Check
Daniel Keenan, 0-5%8¢0¢Check
Will July 20 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (7/20 - 7
KXHORMUZMAX-26JUL26 · vol24 68
July 2013¢0¢Check
July 2115¢0¢Check
July 2614¢0¢Check
July 2515¢0¢Check
July 2416¢0¢Check
July 2316¢0¢Check
The 8 most active political events on our scanner, last scanned 7:13 AM ET. Prices are scanner observations, not executable quotes. Not financial advice.