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Election markets, live

Kalshi’s political board heading into the 2026 midterms: the most active election and politics markets our scanner sees right now, grouped by race and event, with live prices, day moves, and volume. It refreshes automatically all the way to November.

Before trading any of these, take the one test that matters: would you still take the position if winning meant your side losing? The Politics & Elections field guide covers wishcasting, seat-math arbitrage, the four meanings of “wins,” and certification timelines.

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.1 on Oct 23, 2026?
KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT23 · vol24 127,572
38.1%1¢0¢Check
Below 38.1%2¢0¢Check
38.3%6¢0¢Check
38.4%8¢0¢Check
Above 38.7%36¢0¢Check
38.7%14¢0¢Check
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled f
KXTRUMPMENTION-26OCT22 · vol24 60,511
Ilhan / Omar99¢0¢Check
Trump Account39¢0¢Check
Data Center40¢0¢Check
Space Force51¢0¢Check
Soybean32¢0¢Check
Google23¢0¢Check
Will Trump do anything on Oct 23, 2026?
KXTRUMPACTD-26OCT23 · vol24 22
Yes16¢0¢Check
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Todd Blanche is the first of the of
KXIMPEACHFIRST-28 · vol24 0
Todd Blanche5¢0¢Check
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.5¢0¢Check
Pete Hegseth35¢0¢Check
None of these36¢0¢Check
JD Vance5¢0¢Check
Howard Lutnick5¢0¢Check
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in South Dakota be decided by 5 percentage poin
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03 · vol24 0
South Dakota46¢0¢Check
Idaho46¢0¢Check
Mississippi47¢0¢Check
Will Yair Golan win the first election for Speaker of the Knesset after the Oct 27, 2026 K
KXISRSPEAKER-26OCT27 · vol24 0
Yair Golan99¢0¢Check
Avigdor Lieberman99¢0¢Check
Gadi Eisenkot99¢0¢Check
Naftali Bennett99¢0¢Check
Yair Lapid30¢0¢Check
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 13 percentage points?
KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIND-26NOV03 · vol24 0
Democrats, ≥13%9¢0¢Check
Democrats, ≥9%61¢0¢Check
Democrats, ≥7%80¢0¢Check
Democrats, ≥5%91¢0¢Check
Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Jul 1, 2027?
KXTRUMPIRAN · vol24 0
Before Jul 1, 20276¢0¢Check
Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 9% of valid votes in Is
KXISRAELTHRESH-26NOV03 · vol24 0
At least 9%50¢0¢Check
At least 8%50¢0¢Check
At least 7%50¢0¢Check
At least 6%50¢0¢Check
At least 5%50¢0¢Check
At least 4%50¢0¢Check
Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT25 · vol24 0
Above 2372¢0¢Check
The 10 most active political events on our scanner, last scanned 8:53 PM ET. Prices are scanner observations, not executable quotes. Not financial advice.