Every open position you hold, live on one board: what it’s worth right now, what you’re up or down, what cashing out would actually net after fees, and, the part you can’t get anywhere else, the full distribution of how your night could end. Leave it open while the games run.
How your night could end runs 5,000 simulated settlements of your whole book, using each market’s current price as its probability. Instead of one number, you see the shape of the night: your chance of finishing green, the most likely result, the realistic range, and the true best and worst cases. It updates as prices move.
Cash out now is the honest number: your position sold at the current price minus the taker fee. Comparing it to the win payout is the real sell-versus-hold decision, and if you believe the current price is fair, holding keeps the exit fee in your pocket at the cost of an all-or-nothing finish.
The live 1256 tax ledger answers the question every profitable trader forgets until April: what do I owe? Section 1256 marks your open positions to market at year-end, so it folds your realized year plus your current unrealized P&L into one running number, taxes it 60/40, and shows a rough quarterly set-aside, updating as your book moves.
The concentration flag warns when most of your live value rides one category, the quiet way one bad slate wipes a week. It pairs with the concentration analysis in the Trade Report, which looks at the same habit across your full history.
Uses the same encrypted read-only key as the Trade Report’s auto-sync; connect once and both work. Prices refresh about every 45 seconds and can move faster during live events. The simulation treats positions as independent, so correlated positions (several on one game) swing harder than shown. Not financial advice.