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Will it happen?

Live Kalshi odds on real-world yes/no questions, each answered by the market and updated automatically. Featured questions are evergreen and embeddable; below them, the trending questions the market is pricing most heavily right now.

Featured questions
Will the US enter a recession?
Kalshi lists markets on whether the US economy tips into a recession within a given window, resolved to official indicators.
Will the Fed cut interest rates?
Markets on the Federal Reserve's next rate decision, resolved to the published FOMC target range.
Will there be a government shutdown?
Markets on whether the federal government shuts down before a funding deadline.
Will Bitcoin hit a new all-time high?
Markets on whether Bitcoin sets a new record price within a window.
Where will presidential approval land?
Markets on the president's approval rating landing in a given range by a set date.
What will the next inflation report show?
Markets on the next CPI or PCE inflation release landing in a given range.
Who will control the House after 2026?
Markets on which party controls the US House after the 2026 midterms.
Who will control the Senate after 2026?
Markets on which party controls the US Senate after the 2026 midterms.
Where will the unemployment rate land?
Markets on the next monthly jobs report and unemployment rate.
Where will Bitcoin's price be?
Markets on Bitcoin closing above or below a price level by a set date.
Who will win the Super Bowl?
Markets on the Super Bowl champion and matchup.
Trending on Kalshi right now
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0100?
43%
Other · yes probability
Will Dana White publicly decline the role of White House Press Secretary before Nov 10, 20
34%
Other · yes probability
Will Diesel Price on November 9, 2026 be above $6.190?
6%
Other · yes probability
Who will win the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress?
6%
Other · yes probability
Will it rain in College Station on Nov 9, 2026?
60%
Weather · yes probability
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
16%
Other · yes probability
Both Teams To Score
63%
Other · yes probability

See the full field for multi-outcome events on the odds boards, or every live market on Live odds. Not financial advice.