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Will it happen?

Live Kalshi odds on real-world yes/no questions, each answered by the market and updated automatically. Featured questions are evergreen and embeddable; below them, the trending questions the market is pricing most heavily right now.

Featured questions
Will the US enter a recession?
Kalshi lists markets on whether the US economy tips into a recession within a given window, resolved to official indicators.
Will the Fed cut interest rates?
Markets on the Federal Reserve's next rate decision, resolved to the published FOMC target range.
Will there be a government shutdown?
Markets on whether the federal government shuts down before a funding deadline.
Will Bitcoin hit a new all-time high?
Markets on whether Bitcoin sets a new record price within a window.
Where will presidential approval land?
Markets on the president's approval rating landing in a given range by a set date.
What will the next inflation report show?
Markets on the next CPI or PCE inflation release landing in a given range.
Who will control the House after 2026?
Markets on which party controls the US House after the 2026 midterms.
Who will control the Senate after 2026?
Markets on which party controls the US Senate after the 2026 midterms.
Where will the unemployment rate land?
Markets on the next monthly jobs report and unemployment rate.
Where will Bitcoin's price be?
Markets on Bitcoin closing above or below a price level by a set date.
Who will win the Super Bowl?
Markets on the Super Bowl champion and matchup.
Trending on Kalshi right now
Will the **high temp in LA** be >79° on Jul 18, 2026?
73%
Weather · yes probability
Will the **high temp in NYC** be <79° on Jul 18, 2026?
36%
Weather · yes probability
Will Donald Trump endorse Darline Graham Nordone in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race be
89%
Politics · yes probability
Will any man break (not tie) the outdoor world record for the Men's One Mile after Issuanc
70%
Other · yes probability
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.010?
38%
Other · yes probability
Will the maximum temperature be 95-96° on Jul 18, 2026?
46%
Weather · yes probability
Will the **high temp in Miami** be 90-91° on Jul 18, 2026?
43%
Weather · yes probability
Will the high temp in Chicago be <89° on Jul 18, 2026?
28%
Weather · yes probability
Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be >89° on Jul 18, 2026?
26%
Weather · yes probability
Will Rome Seymour be eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 before Jul 24, 2026?
45%
Other · yes probability
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 87 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
73%▲38
Economics · yes probability
Will the minimum temperature be 68-69° on Jul 18, 2026?
20%
Weather · yes probability
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 21, 2026?
37%
Economics · yes probability
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t
72%
World · yes probability
Will there be more than 60 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to
27%
World · yes probability
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.870 USD/MMBtu on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
72%
Economics · yes probability
Above 5.2%
41%
Politics · yes probability
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 80.00 and 80.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 24, 2026
8%
Economics · yes probability
Will Riyadh Falcons win map 1 in the Riyadh Falcons vs. Miami Heretics match?
59%
Other · yes probability
Will US housing starts for July 2026 be above 1.400M?
26%
Economics · yes probability
Will Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average be above 40.5% at 10:00 AM ET on Jul
37%
Politics · yes probability

See the full field for multi-outcome events on the odds boards, or every live market on Live odds. Not financial advice.