Where will presidential approval land?

Markets on the president's approval rating landing in a given range by a set date.

Most active live market

Will the President's approval rating be below 39.6 according to RealClearPolitics? · Below 39.6

3%

implied chance▲ 1 today

Full history & chart →

Embed this on your site

<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXAPRPOTUS-26JUL17-39.6" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Will the President's approval rating be below 39.6 according to RealClearPolitics? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXAPRPOTUS-26JUL17-39.6">Live odds by ContractTax</a>

Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

How this market works

Approval markets resolve to a named poll or average, so the resolution source is everything, a market tied to one pollster can diverge from the RealClearPolitics-style average. They move slowly except around major news.

Related live markets

Will the President's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.7 according to RealClearPoliti10%Will the President's approval rating be above 41.3 according to RealClearPolitics?13%Will the President's approval rating be between 39.9 and 40.1 according to RealClearPoliti2%Will the President's approval rating be between 40.2 and 40.4 according to RealClearPoliti3%

the US enter a recession the Fed cut interest rates there be a government shutdown Bitcoin hit a new all-time high the next inflation report show Who will control the House after 2026 Who will control the Senate after 2026 the unemployment rate land Bitcoin's price be Who will win the Super Bowl

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. How well these prices track reality is measured on the Truth Machine. Educational only, not financial advice.