Every combo we graded

Each day we build a combo from live Kalshi markets and publish its true odds before the games are played. Then we settle it against Kalshi’s own results and leave it here, win or lose. Anyone can check our work.

See today’s combo, or grade your own in the builder.

Were we right?

SETTLED

114

ACTUALLY HIT

11

WE PREDICTED

6.5

The odds we published said about 6.5 of these 114 should have cashed. 11 did. We are running slightly ahead of expectation. That is variance in a small sample, not skill on our part, and it should drift back.

5 legs · we said 6.1% to hit

pending

not settled yet

5 legs · we said 1.7% to hit

CASHED

5 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.0% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.7% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.4% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.9% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.0% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 8.6% to hit

MISSED

3 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.2% to hit

CASHED

5 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.3% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 8.1% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.6% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.8% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.8% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 8.3% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.3% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 8.0% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.4% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.1% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.4% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.0% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 1.6% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.2% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.0% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.3% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 11% to hit

MISSED

3 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.4% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.3% to hit

MISSED

3 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 9.9% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.3% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.2% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.6% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.6% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 7.3% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.1% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.1% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.6% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 12% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 1.7% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.2% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 12% to hit

MISSED

3 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 8.2% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.4% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 9.6% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.8% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.0% to hit

CASHED

5 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 10% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.1% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 8.0% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.3% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.2% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.8% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.0% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.4% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 7.4% to hit

CASHED

5 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.4% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 7.5% to hit

CASHED

5 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.1% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.2% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.2% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.7% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 7.5% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.0% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.7% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 13% to hit

CASHED

5 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 12% to hit

MISSED

3 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 8.9% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.2% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 1.7% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 8.2% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.9% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.8% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.9% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.6% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.6% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.6% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.4% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 11% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.5% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.1% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.6% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.6% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 8.5% to hit

CASHED

5 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.6% to hit

CASHED

5 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 10% to hit

CASHED

5 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.8% to hit

CASHED

5 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.2% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.7% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 23% to hit

CASHED

5 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 7.3% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.7% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.6% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.7% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.0% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.1% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.8% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.8% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.1% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 7.2% to hit

MISSED

4 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 7.3% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 13% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.0% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.4% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.4% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 13% to hit

MISSED

3 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 7.7% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.0% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 2.2% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.7% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.9% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 4.6% to hit

MISSED

2 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 3.2% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 6.1% to hit

MISSED

0 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 10% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

5 legs · we said 5.5% to hit

MISSED

1 of 5 legs landed

These are demonstrations, never picks or recommendations. Odds are published before the games and settled from Kalshi’s public results. Most combos miss, which is exactly the point.