Every combo we graded

Each day we build a combo from live Kalshi markets and publish its true odds before the games are played. Then we settle it against Kalshi’s own results and leave it here, win or lose. Anyone can check our work.

See today’s combo, or grade your own in the builder.

Were we right?
SETTLED
3
ACTUALLY HIT
0
WE PREDICTED
0.1
The odds we published said about 0.1 of these 3 should have cashed. 0 did. That is right on the number. The odds on this site are not marketing, they are what happens.
Jul 18, 2026
5 legs · we said 4.7% to hit
pending
not settled yet
Jul 17, 2026
5 legs · we said 4.9% to hit
pending
not settled yet
Jul 16, 2026
5 legs · we said 4.6% to hit
pending
not settled yet
Jul 15, 2026
5 legs · we said 3.2% to hit
MISSED
0 of 5 legs landed
Jul 14, 2026
5 legs · we said 6.1% to hit
MISSED
0 of 5 legs landed
Jul 13, 2026
5 legs · we said 10% to hit
pending
not settled yet
Jul 12, 2026
5 legs · we said 5.5% to hit
MISSED
1 of 5 legs landed
These are demonstrations, never picks or recommendations. Odds are published before the games and settled from Kalshi’s public results. Most combos miss, which is exactly the point.