October 9, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

3.2%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$625

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1CHI Bears wins by over 2.5 points to winCHI vs GB46¢

2Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points to winPHI vs BKN47¢

3I Wen Wan to winARA vs WAN69¢

4Adrian Mannarino to winMAN vs COB37¢

5Brandon Nakashima to winBER vs NAK58¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 17% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.