The Kalshi cheat sheet

Everything that matters, on one page. Bookmark it. Each block links to the full guide if you want the detail.

The basics
  • Kalshi markets are binary event contracts.
  • Priced 1 to 99 cents. Each pays $1 if the event resolves yes, $0 if no.
  • Your max loss is what you paid; your max gain is $1 minus what you paid, per contract.
What is Kalshi?
Price = probability
  • A contract's price is the market's implied probability.
  • 65 cents implies about a 65% chance of yes.
  • Your edge exists only when your estimate beats the price by more than fees.
Prices as probability
Order types
  • Limit order: set your price, wait for a fill.
  • Market order: fill now at the best available price.
  • No native stop-loss. Capping losses is on you.
Order types
Maker vs taker
  • Maker: post a resting order, add liquidity, usually lower fee.
  • Taker: cross the spread, fill instantly, pay for immediacy.
  • In thin books, this also affects your fill price.
Maker vs taker
Fees
  • Trading fees apply and scale with price and size.
  • Small per trade, but they compound at volume.
  • Always factor fees into whether an edge is real.
Fees explained
Settlement
  • Contracts are cash-settled at $1 (correct) or $0 (incorrect).
  • You can also exit early by selling before settlement.
  • Proceeds minus cost basis (with fees) is your gain.
How markets settle
The CSV gotcha
  • Kalshi's exported CSV stores values in cents, not dollars.
  • Divide monetary columns by 100 before you do anything.
  • Fees are in cents too. Quantity is not.
Cents vs dollars
Three tax treatments
  • Ordinary income: full gain at your marginal rate. Simplest.
  • Section 1256: 60/40 split. Lowest rate if it applies (contested).
  • Gambling: ordinary income with capped loss deduction. Usually worst.
How Kalshi taxes work
Key tax forms
  • Section 1256 -> Form 6781 -> Schedule D.
  • Capital-style -> Form 8949 + Schedule D.
  • Ordinary -> Schedule 1. Aggressive stance -> Form 8275 disclosure.
  • No 1099-B for trades: you report yourself.
How to report
Survival rules
  • Risk only a small percent of bankroll per trade.
  • Set a session loss limit and a stop-after-N-losses rule.
  • Most damage is behavioral: tilt, oversizing, late nights.
Limiting losses
Turn the theory into your numbers
ContractTax applies all of this to your actual trade history: P&L, a Sharp Score, behavior analysis, and tax-ready figures.
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