Bankroll Guardian

Every casino makes you set nothing. The Guardian starts with one honest question, how much can you lose in a month without it mattering?, then watches your real Kalshi results against that number automatically. A pace read mid-month, an email at 50%, 80%, and 100%, and a streak for every month you stay inside it. Not a lecture. A line, guarded.

Why a number beats willpower

Decisions made mid-tilt at 11pm are worse than decisions made calmly on the 1st of the month. The Guardian moves the decision: you choose the limit once, with a clear head, and the system does the remembering, tracking every settled trade against it and interrupting before the damage is done, at 50% and 80%, not just after. The pace line does the quiet math you avoid ("at this rate, -$240 by the 31st"), and the monthly streak makes staying inside the number feel like the win it is.

It pairs with the Comeback Plan, which targets which trades lose you money, while the Guardian caps how much a bad month can take. Together they’re the difference between hoping this month goes better and making sure it can’t go worse than you chose.

A loss budget tells you when to stop. These tell you how big to bet in the first place, which is the half that decides whether you ever hit the budget:
Position size calculator
Size a trade by bankroll percent or the Kelly criterion.
Risk of ruin calculator
The odds your bankroll hits zero before your horizon.
Bankroll growth simulator
Project how a steady edge compounds over time.
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