September 27, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

4.4%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$459

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Sydney Kings wins by over 10.5 points to winILLA vs SYD49¢

2Alabama wins by over 33.5 points to winSCAR vs ALA57¢

3Over 10.5 runs scoredCOL vs CWS37¢

4Maya Joint to winJOI vs BIR63¢

5Over 9.5 runs scoredTBP vs HI67¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 20% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.