October 30, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

5.3%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$378

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Jeremy Paul to win50¢

2Daniel Jones: 1+ passing interceptionsIND vs JAC57¢

3Carlos Alcaraz to winPAU vs ALC79¢

4Brycen Tremayne: 1+ receptionsCAR vs GB47¢

5Washington wins by over 1.5 points to winCHA vs WAS50¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 22% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.