July 22, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

12.5%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$160

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Cruz Azul to winCruz Azul vs Puebla74¢

2Hong Yi Cody Wong to winCody Wong win the Sebov vs Wong75¢

3Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs to winMIN vs CLE75¢

4Washington to winWashington vs Colorado64¢

5James McCabe to winMcCabe win the McCabe vs Chan47¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 34% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.