October 14, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

10.7%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$188

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Over 23.5 1H points scored: Over 23.5 pointsDEL vs MTU79¢

2Jack Hughes: 1+ goalsNJD vs ET74¢

3Luis Francischinelli to winREN vs FRA73¢

4Full Game: over 41.5 points scoredBAL vs CLE48¢

5Over 6.5 runs scoredCLE vs TB52¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 32% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.