July 27, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

7.3%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$274

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Atlanta to winAtlanta vs New52¢

2Cincinnati to winCleveland vs Cincinnati62¢

3Taylor Fritz -3.5 games to winFRI vs BER62¢

4Enrico Dalla Valle to winValle win the Dalla Valle vs Brunold62¢

5Tallon Griekspoor to winGriekspoor win the Tabilo vs Griekspoor59¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 25% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.