July 20, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

5.0%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$403

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Sophia Bergqvist to winHanatani vs Bergqvist60¢

2Paula Badosa to winSherif Ahmed Abdelaziz vs Badosa64¢

3Paula Badosa to winPaula Badosa win the Kawa vs Badosa63¢

4Dallas to winNew York vs Dallas41¢

5Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs to winNYM vs MIL50¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 21% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.