October 6, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

7.3%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$272

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Carlos Alcaraz to winALC vs LEH78¢

2Pavel Kotov to winKOT vs VUK60¢

3Full Game: Over 218.5 points scoredPHX vs DET53¢

4Catherine Aulia to winAUL vs ONO74¢

5Yoshihito Nishioka to winNIS vs SVR40¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 27% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.