August 21, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

3.6%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$561

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Roman Andres Burruchaga to winKOU vs BUR54¢

2Texas wins by over 1.5 runs to winWSH vs TEX58¢

3Sara Bejlek to winBEJ vs KEY35¢

4Taylor Fritz to winFRI vs NAK65¢

5Arike Ogunbowale: 20+ pointsIND vs DAL50¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 18% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.