July 19, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

It missed

WE SAID

2.2%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

0 / 5

final

FAIR PAYOUT

$906

off $20

It missed, with 0 of 5 legs landing. That is the ordinary outcome: at 2.2% to hit, missing was always about 98% likely, and coming up a leg or two short is the most common way it happens.

The ticket, as we published it

1India to winEngland vs India51¢

2Total Runs: Over 7.5 runs scoredSan Francisco vs Seattle43¢

3Los Angeles D to winLos Angeles D vs New51¢

4Maria Sakkari to winKrejcikova vs Sakkari47¢

5What will be the exact finishing order for the final four teams in the 2026 Men's FIFA Wor: 1: Argentina / 2: Spain / 3:42¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 13% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.