November 5, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

2.7%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$730

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Luka Dončić player points escalatorLAL vs SAC39¢

2Ty Jerome: 25+ pointsIND vs MEM40¢

3Juan Carlos Prado Angelo to winHEI vs PRA79¢

4Qianhui Tang / Qiu Yu Ye to win39¢

5Alexandre Muller to winBRO vs MUL57¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 15% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.