September 17, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

2.8%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$717

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Timo Legout to winLEG vs NAK64¢

2Matisse Bobichon to winMAN vs BOB44¢

3Ava Catanzarite to winCAT vs CIN43¢

4Boston wins first 5 innings to winBOS vs TEX47¢

5Over 7.5 runs scoredMIN vs LAA49¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 15% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.