October 11, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

9.9%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$203

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Daria Kasatkina to winSOR vs KAS64¢

21st Half: Over 111.5 points scoredDET vs WAS79¢

3Zeynep Sonmez to winSON vs KRA61¢

4Astra Sharma to winBRE vs SHA68¢

5Jacob Misiorowski: 8+ strikeoutsLAD vs MIL47¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 30% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.