August 17, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

6.1%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$330

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Arizona to winArizona vs Boston43¢

2Los Angeles D to winLos Angeles D vs Colorado71¢

3Nerman Fatic to winDonald win the Fatic vs Donald74¢

4Alexandra Eala to winEala win the Eala vs Anisimova47¢

5Golden State wins by over 4.5 points to winDAL vs GS57¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 24% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.