October 21, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

2.1%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$931

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Darcy Kuemper: 27+ savesLAW vs SH48¢

2Dylan Harper: 15+ pointsOKC vs SAS56¢

3San Francisco wins by over 2.5 points to winSFA vs TL54¢

4Wyatt Johnston: 1+ goalsBOS vs DAL37¢

5Alex DeBrincat: 1+ goalsDET vs SEA40¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 13% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.