September 9, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet
WE SAID
6.2%
chance to hit
LEGS THAT LANDED
still playing
FAIR PAYOUT
$320
off $20
The ticket, as we published it
1Coco Gauff to winAND vs GAU66¢
2Tommy McMillen to winMCM vs RAH61¢
3Over 13.5 runs scoredNYM vs MIA41¢
4Karen Khachanov to winKHA vs BLO61¢
5Jack Perkins: 4+ strikeoutsTOR vs ATH62¢
The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 24% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.
Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo
Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.