October 3, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

3.6%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$555

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Elise Mertens to winVOL vs MER54¢

2Jiri Lehecka to winHUM vs LEH62¢

3Chicago WS to winChicago WS vs Cleveland44¢

4San Diego to winSDM vs IL36¢

5Los Angeles D to winAtlanta vs Los68¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 18% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.