October 25, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

8.3%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$242

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1I Wen Wan to winSAT vs WAN78¢

2Isaac Becroft to winELL vs BEC72¢

3Philadelphia wins by over 12.5 points to winMIL vs PHI59¢

4Alycia Parks to winWAT vs PAR53¢

5Denver wins by over 11.5 points to winNOP vs DEN47¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 28% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.