July 18, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

4.7%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$423

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1C Total Runs: Over 10.5 runs scoredMinnesota vs Chicago66¢

2What will be the exact finishing order for the final four teams in the 2026 Men's FIFA Wor: 1: Spain / 2: Argentina / 3:38¢

3Matt Hulme to winMatt Hulme win the Viiala vs Hulme60¢

4Full Game: Over 175.5 points scoredDAL vs NYK73¢

5Seattle wins by over 1.5 runs to winSFS vs EA43¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 21% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.