October 10, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

4.3%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$467

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Rhyne Howard: 20+ pointsATL vs NY76¢

2Claire Liu to winTAR vs LIU50¢

3Magda Linette to winKRA vs LIN54¢

4Gabriela Dabrowski / Luisa Stefani to win58¢

5Matthew Dellavedova to winDEL vs ERE36¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 20% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.