October 19, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

3.0%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$661

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1over 1.5 goals be scored: Over 1.5 goals scoredLLA vs SFE39¢

2Mattia Bellucci to winBEL vs ETC52¢

3Stan Wawrinka to winWAW vs LAN39¢

4Nancy Lee to winLEE vs THA51¢

5over 1.5 goals be scored: Over 1.5 goals scoredCAB vs RIV75¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 16% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.