November 1, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

8.6%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$231

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Mattia Bellucci to winTIR vs BEL63¢

2Karen Khachanov to winSHA vs KHA62¢

3Tommy Paul to winPAU vs RUN66¢

4Jeremiyah Love: 40+ rushing yardsARI vs DAL55¢

5Diana Shnaider to winFER vs SHN61¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 27% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.