October 17, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

3.2%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$619

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Dayana Yastremska to winYAS vs RAK51¢

2Full Game: Over 226.5 points scoredBOS vs PHI46¢

3Taro Daniel to winDAN vs BAS35¢

4Connie Ma to winSHO vs MAX69¢

5Sonay Kartal to winKAR vs OST57¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 17% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.