October 4, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

4.1%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$487

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Oregon St. wins by over 23.5 points to winORST vs CSU53¢

2Darya Khomutsianskaya to winHUA vs KHO50¢

3Jason Robertson: 1+ goalsDAL vs NSH40¢

4Andrey Rublev to winDER vs UB49¢

5Arthur Fils to winVAC vs FIL79¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 19% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.