September 14, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

7.4%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$272

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Leon to winLEO vs ASL51¢

2Colin Sinclair to winSIN vs XIA62¢

3New York Y to winNYY vs MIN56¢

4Yokohama DeNA BayStars to winYOM vs YOK64¢

5Dallas to winWAS vs DAL65¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 25% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.