September 7, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet
WE SAID
7.5%
chance to hit
LEGS THAT LANDED
still playing
FAIR PAYOUT
$268
off $20
The ticket, as we published it
1Coco Gauff to winJOV vs GAU72¢
2Learner Tien to winKHA vs TIE62¢
3Ben Shelton to winBen Shelton vs Stefanos70¢
4Anna Kalinskaya to winAnna Kalinskaya vs Emma52¢
5Reg Time: Toluca to winTOL vs MON46¢
The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 26% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.
Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo
Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.