October 22, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

2.4%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$830

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Anton Shepp to winSHE vs BEC59¢

2Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 20+ pointsMIL vs WAS47¢

3Luca Van Assche to winVAC vs VAN44¢

4Aaron Jones Sr.: 1+ touchdownsIND vs MIN47¢

5Fons Van Sambeek to winFUE vs VAN42¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 13% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.