October 5, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet
WE SAID
2.1%
chance to hit
LEGS THAT LANDED
—
still playing
FAIR PAYOUT
$935
off $20
The ticket, as we published it
1Bucaramanga wins by more than 1.5 goals to winBUC vs JUN48¢
2Alevtina Ibragimova to winIBR vs SRA44¢
3Full Game: Over 4.5 goals scoredUTA vs NYR48¢
4Vegas over 3.5 goals scoredVGK vs VAN57¢
5Alina Charaeva to winCHA vs KAR37¢
The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 13% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.
Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo
Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.