November 8, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

6.1%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$329

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Fight goes the distanceGRA vs SMI39¢

2Moritz Wagner: 10+ pointsBKN vs ATL51¢

3Full Game: Over 177.5 points scoredNMSU vs GONZ71¢

4Oregon wins by over 19.5 points to winORE vs OSU73¢

5Keiichiro Nakamura by KO/TKO/DQ to winNAK vs SCH59¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 24% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.