October 13, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

2.4%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$818

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1over 1.5 goals be scored: Over 1.5 goals scoredNAC vs REC42¢

2over 0.5 goals be scored: Over 0.5 goals scoredABO vs GOD43¢

3Erick Visconde to winBUL vs VIS43¢

4Olivia Lincer to winLIN vs GUZ42¢

5Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira to winORT vs ZAN75¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 14% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.