September 15, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

5.4%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$368

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Full Game: over 43.5 points scoredCAR vs ATL55¢

2Virginia scores over 27.5 points: Virginia over 27.5 points scoredWVU vs UVA67¢

3Toronto wins by over 2.5 runs to winDET vs TOR43¢

4New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs to winNYY vs MIN49¢

5Over 7.5 runs scoredCWS vs CLE70¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 22% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.