October 7, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

6.6%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$305

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Pol Martin Tiffon to winPER vs MAR63¢

2Dominic Stricker to winSTR vs DJE58¢

3Nikoloz Basilashvili to winMAN vs BAS49¢

4Mattia Bellucci to winBEL vs ZHO78¢

51st Half: Over 117.5 points scoredBKN vs CHA47¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 25% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.