October 2, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

12.5%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$161

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Congo DR to winCOD vs UGA61¢

2Nagi Hanatani to winSAW vs HAN53¢

3Marcus Walters to winWAL vs CON78¢

4Los Angeles D to winATL vs LAD65¢

5Golden State to winDAL vs GS76¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 33% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.