October 23, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

8.0%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$249

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Jiri Lehecka to winGRI vs LEH72¢

2Sander Jong to winWOL vs JON41¢

3Bryce Young: 22+ passing completionsTBC vs AR51¢

4Storm Hunter / Janice Tjen to win75¢

5Hikaru Sato to winBAI vs SAT71¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 28% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.