October 31, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

6.2%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$324

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Leylah Fernandez to winFER vs RAK74¢

2Canelo Alvarez by Decision to win51¢

3Diana Shnaider to winSHN vs POH72¢

4Tari Eason: 8+ reboundsHOU vs DAL35¢

5Diana Shnaider to winDiana Shnaider vs Mia65¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 25% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.