October 18, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

1.6%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$1,232

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1over 1.5 goals be scored: Over 1.5 goals scoredOLI vs MAY41¢

2Makai Lemon: 3+ receptionsCAR vs PHI42¢

3Brady Tkachuk: 3+ pointsSEA vs FLA52¢

4Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA to winKHO vs WEI49¢

5Egor Pleshivtsev to winPLE vs CAS37¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 11% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.