October 8, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

6.6%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$305

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Over 4.5 runs scoredLAD vs ATL49¢

2Chang / Shymanovich to win71¢

3Oklahoma City wins by over 12.5 points to winMIL vs OKC47¢

4Katrina Scott to winSCO vs REE73¢

5Hikaru Sato to winUEM vs SAT55¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 25% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.