August 3, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

3.0%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$659

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Kerem Yilmaz to winYilmaz win the Yilmaz vs Deckers43¢

2New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs to winSTL vs NYY48¢

3Anna Blinkova to winBlinkova win the Sramkova vs Blinkova58¢

4Quillan Salkilld to winSalkilld win the Gamrot vs Salkilld59¢

5Leolia Jeanjean to winJeanjean win the Frech vs Jeanjean43¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 16% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.