Markets on the Federal Reserve's next rate decision, resolved to the published FOMC target range.
No active Kalshi market matches this right now, they come and go with the calendar. Check all live odds, or come back when the next one lists.
How this market works
Fed markets are among the most-traded on Kalshi because the outcome is scheduled and binary at each FOMC meeting. Prices track the CME FedWatch-style expectations and jump on CPI, PCE, and jobs data. Read the exact market: 'cut at the next meeting' is different from 'cut by year end.'
Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. How well these prices track reality is measured on the Truth Machine. Educational only, not financial advice.