What will the next inflation report show?

Markets on the next CPI or PCE inflation release landing in a given range.

Most active live market

Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in June 2026? · Above 0.2%

54%

implied chance▼ 22 today

Full history & chart →

Embed this on your site

<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.2" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in June 2026? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.2">Live odds by ContractTax</a>

Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

How this market works

Inflation markets settle on the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI print (or the PCE from the BEA) on a scheduled release date. Because the number is a scheduled data drop, these behave like event markets: quiet, then a sharp resolution. Watch which index and which month the market specifies.

Related live markets

Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in July 2026?5%Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.3% in June 2026?12%Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.4% in June 2026?5%Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2026?65%

the US enter a recession the Fed cut interest rates there be a government shutdown Bitcoin hit a new all-time high presidential approval land Who will control the House after 2026 Who will control the Senate after 2026 the unemployment rate land Bitcoin's price be Who will win the Super Bowl

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. How well these prices track reality is measured on the Truth Machine. Educational only, not financial advice.