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Live odds / Weather

Will the **high temp in NYC** be <79° on Jul 18, 2026?

78° or below
74%
implied chance of YES▲ 43 today
Recorded price path
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 74 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 75% of the time (n=118). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
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More live Weather markets
Will the **high temp in LA** be >79° on Jul 18, 2026?59%Will the **high temp in LA** be 78-79° on Jul 18, 2026?35%Will the **high temp in LA** be 76-77° on Jul 18, 2026?8%Will the **high temp in LA** be 74-75° on Jul 18, 2026?3%Will the **high temp in NYC** be 79-80° on Jul 18, 2026?29%
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Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.