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Odds boards / Economics

Brent crude oil price on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲38Biggest move: above $87.50 up to 72% recently.
1
above $80▲598%
2
above $80.5098%
3
above $8198%
4
above $81.5097%
5
above $8296%
6
above $82.5095%
7
above $84.50▲3095%
8
above $83▲1094%
9
above $83.50▲1793%
10
above $85.50▲3292%
11
above $86▲3388%
12
above $84▲1086%
13
above $85▲1984%
14
above $86.50▲3482%
15
above $87▲3580%
16
above $87.50▲3872%
17
above $8866%
18
above $88.50▲2861%
19
above $89▲3356%
20
above $89.50▲2648%
21
above $90.0043%
22
above $90.5038%
23
above $91.0034%
24
above $92.0024%
25
above $92.5021%
26
above $94.0014%
27
above $94.5011%
28
above $91.500%
29
above $93.000%
30
above $93.500%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1864%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 98%, so historically this band has come in about 18 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, above $80 at 98¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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